UFC Vegas 64 Predictions: WMMA Rankings Staff Picks

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UFC Vegas 64 takes place on Saturday, November 5, 2022, from the UFC APEX in Las Vegas, Nevada, United States.

Strawweights will headline the main card in a clash of powerful Brazilian strikers when Marina Rodriguez battles Amanda Lemos.

Three female bouts will feature on the preliminary card. Miranda Maverick will take on Shanna Young in flyweight action, Polyana Viana will collide with Jinh Yu Frey in a strawweight contest, and finally, Ramona Pascual takes on newcomer Tamires Vidal in a bantamweight bout.

Ahead of Saturday’s big event, four members of the WMMA Rankings Staff Team have made their predictions and analysis for the fights. Take a look below.


Tonya
@T_WMMARankings

Bolu
@Bfalase

Brittany
@BritJadeWrites

Nick
@NICKATNITE111

Marina Rodriguez vs. Amanda Lemos


Tonya: Two strikers with reliable takedown defense, this bout will come down to striking output and power.  Both fighters are 4-1 in their last five fights and neither one has any obvious advantages over the other in terms of reach or height.  Rodriguez is going to pull through with a decision win, in the end, racking up points via higher volume.  
Winner: Marina Rodriguez

Bolu: Great fight for the main event. Marina is a brilliant fighter. Currently on a four-fight win streak and was able to push the champion, Carla Esparza, to a split decision. If she’s able to win convincingly, she could put herself in good stead for a title shot depending on the result between Esparza and Zhang Weili at UFC 281. Lemos has also looked great in her UFC run, winning six of her eight UFC fights so far. When it comes to this fight, I think volume will be the deciding factor. Both women have good striking, they’re pretty even on power and it’s unlikely we’ll see too much grappling unless someone is in trouble. So when it comes to the all-important volume, Rodriguez has that advantage. Also, Rodriguez has the five-round experience and is tried and tested in the later rounds. That experience is will be vital when she faces Lemos if the fight gets there. I’ll take Marina Rodriguez by decision.
Winner: Marina Rodriguez

Brittany: This is a great fight! I think both women are ones to watch in the division and will probably both fight for the belt at some point. In this matchup I’m taking Rodriguez – I think she has a more refined stand-up and that will be her biggest advantage against Lemos 
Winner: Marina Rodriguez

Nick: This is a great fight between two of the strawweight division’s hardest hitters. Marina arguably could’ve/should’ve been the one to challenge Carla Esparza at 281 but instead, she’s tasked with fellow Brazilian contender Amanda Lemos. One of the only women in the UFC to register knockdowns with both hands, Lemos is extremely dangerous both on the feet and on the ground. While Lemos is the more proven and prolific finisher, I think Marina’s going to be able to weather several storms to drag Amanda into deep water and outpoint her. 
Winner: Marina Rodriguez


Miranda Maverick vs. Shanna Young


Tonya: Shanna Young is coming off her first win against Gina Mazany, however, she has every reason to “Fear The” power and strength of Miranda Maverick.  Maverick is too strong, too powerful, and all around too much for Young to contend with.  Maverick will bully her way to a win via submission.
Winner: Miranda Maverick

Bolu: The second installment of Maverick vs Young occurs on Saturday and this fight could likely end up being a repeat of their first match. Maverick is incredible on the ground. Her jiu-jitsu game is one of the best in the Flyweight division. Although Young is the bigger fighter, the technique Maverick has when the fight reaches the ground is incredible. Young will have to try and keep Maverick on her feet if she wants to win this fight. She’ll have to be patient with strikes to avoid a quick takedown. If she’s able to neutralize Maverick’s takedown attempts and tire her out, there’s a great chance she can come along strong late in the fight. That being said, it’s hard to deny Maverick the win here. She improves with each fight and this could be the next piece in the puzzle for her to move up the rankings.
Winner: Miranda Maverick

Brittany: Miranda’s level of competition is much steeper than Young’s. I think Maverick completely dominates and takes home the unanimous decision victory. 
Winner: Miranda Maverick

Nick: Maverick is the big favorite heading into this one and I think it’s justified. I could see this fight looking very similar to Maverick’s fight with Sabina Mazo. I think she’ll find her range on the feet before using her wrestling to bring the fight to the ground and control Young. Look out for Maverick to hunt the RNC finish. 
Winner: Miranda Maverick


Polyana Viana vs. Jinh Yu Frey


Tonya: The experience and poise of the veteran Jinh Yu Frey are what will put her over the top in this bout.  Polyana has a dangerous ground game but with an 88% takedown defense, Jinh Yu Frey will be able to stay out of the danger zone.  Frey will slow the pace, play the long game, and ultimately prevail with a decision victory.
Winner: Jinh Yu Frey

Bolu: This fight is ridiculously close. Polyana Viana provides excellent Brazilian Jiu-jitsu and holds the threat of grabbing any limb for a submission attempt. Jinh Yu Frey is a good wrestler with solid striking fundamentals. In her last fight against Vanessa Demopoulos, despite the loss, showed great improvement with her striking. With those improvements in striking and also mixing in a takedown or two to score points, Frey has a great chance of taking the win here. There’s a possibility that both women’s prowess on the ground may force a standup fight for the majority of the fight, to which I would edge Frey. This could be a split decision. But I’ll give the win to Jinh Yu Frey.
Winner: Jinh Yu Frey

Brittany: I think this fight has the potential to be really fun! Both are quite evenly matched but I think Viana will take this one and I wouldn’t be shocked if it was by submission. 
Winner: Polyana Viana

Nick: My feelings and love for Polyana Viana aside, this is her fight to win. With good size and stature for the weight class, improving striking, and a very dangerous BJJ game, Viana has the all tools to neutralize Frey on the feet and on the ground. While Frey is tough and experienced, I think Viana will be able to isolate an arm on the ground for the sub finish. 
Winner: Polyana Viana


Tamires Vidal vs. Ramona Pascual


Tonya: Tamires Vidal will make her UFC debut against the Muay Thai striker Ramona Pascual.  Although Pascual is the more well-rounded, Vidal’s ground game is the superior of the two and Ramona would do well to steer clear of the mat in this bout.  In the end, Pascual’s striking will keep Vidal at bay and result in a decision victory over The Bulldozer.
Winner: Ramona Pascual

Bolu: Tamires Vidal makes her UFC debut against Ramona Pascual, who is on the hunt for her first UFC win after two losses to Joselyne Edwards and Josiane Nunes. Vidal is a dangerous grappler with submissions in her arsenal. She’ll be looking to take Pascual down, despite Pascual having good wrestling herself. Pascual’s weight cut will also be an important factor in this bout. She is yet to fight at Bantamweight and the extra 10lb cut if not done effectively, could potentially hurt her in the final round. Although has the size and power advantage, Vidal should be technically better in the fight and provides more of a threat wherever the fight goes. I’ll take Vidal by decision.
Winner: Tamires Vidal

Brittany: I think Vidal will be too strong here. I can see her increasing her win streak and grinding out a decision. 
Winner: Tamires Vidal

Nick: 0-2 in two Octagon appearances so far, Saturday’s fight is a crucial one for Pascual. After rewatching the tape, I believe that Pascual is the more complete fighter at this time. So long as she can avoid getting tied up in a scramble on the ground, I believe Pascual’s Octagon experience and more-rounded skill set are going to pay dividends en route to a decision win. 
Winner: Ramona Pascual


The UFC Vegas 64 main card will be aired live on ESPN+ from 7pm ET. The preliminary card will air on ESPN+ from 4pm ET.

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